Just a little more than two weeks before Election Day, a new Rasmussen Reports survey shows Democrat Dan Malloy leading the race for governor by just four percentage points, equal to the poll’s margin of error.

The poll was taken Oct. 14, right after the most recent debate between Malloy and Republican Tom Foley, and a few days after a Quinnipiac poll that showed Malloy with a seven-point lead.

The Rasmussen results, released over the weekend, are similar to the results of a poll by the firm two week ago, which found Malloy leading Foley 49 percent to 44 percent. The latest numbers prompted Rasmussen to reclassify the race from “leans Democratic” to “toss-up.”

One point on which the Quinnipiac and Rasmussen polls agree is that large numbers of voters might yet change their minds. Only 80 percent of Malloy backers and 83 percent of Foley supporters say say they are sure of their vote, figures similar to what the Q-poll found and indicating an unusual degree of uncertainty this close to an election.

The Rasmussen poll was an automated telephone survey of 750 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

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