Judge Thomas Moukawsher Michelle Mcloughlin / Wall Street Journal pool photo

A major Wall Street credit rating agency weighed in on Connecticut’s school funding crisis this week, saying an overhaul would improve the credit standing of the state’s poorest cities.

Moody’s Investors Service’s declaration of a “credit positive” for Hartford, Bridgeport and New Haven does not immediately improve their ratings. But it does recognize a development that could improve the cities’ outlook — and lower interest rates on municipal borrowing — in the future.

Whether Connecticut will realign its education financing system remained very much in doubt this week after Attorney General George Jepsen announced the state would appeal a Superior Court ruling that the system was irrational and unconstitutional.

“Additional funding is unlikely to materially improve the overall financial health of cities such as Bridgeport, New Haven and Hartford,” Moody’s wrote Thursday in its latest credit outlook report. “But, the funds can provide some additional operating flexibility and help alleviate school spending pressure.”

Judge Thomas Moukawsher reading his decision.
Judge Thomas Moukawsher reading his decision. Michelle Mcloughlin / Wall Street Journal pool photo

Hartford Superior Court Judge Thomas G. Moukawsher did not mandate specific changes in education spending to the General Assembly in his decision last week, nor did he rule specifically on the Education Cost Sharing formula grant.

Rather the judge said the legislature’s approach to education funding — which frequently disregards the formula — is irrational and unconstitutional, failing to meet the needs of some of Connecticut’s poorest students. Moukawsher directed the legislature to submit a reform plan to the court within 180 days.

If the lower court ruling holds, Moody’s wrote it believes funding levels in low-income communities would increase, and that it could happen in two ways.

“Funding could be distributed through a reallocation, where funding is shifted from more affluent municipalities,” the credit outlook states. “Or, the state could expand the total pie, increasing spending for some cities while allowing more affluent communities to maintain existing funding levels or receive some increases.”

Moody’s reasoned that, “If more affluent communities were to lose state funding, they are generally well positioned to absorb losses because of their heavy reliance on property taxes for revenue and the potential room to raise levies to offset the lost aid.”

It noted that even a 50 percent reduction in education aid in some wealthy communities would result in an “absorbable” 4.4 percent decline in overall revenues.

By comparison, Bridgeport, New Haven and Hartford have struggled financially for years. Their budget reserves range between 0.3 and 3.7 percent of their total revenues from the 2014-15 fiscal year, well below the state median reserve level of 12.9 percent.

These three cities draw about half of their revenue from state and federal aid, and the bulk of that represents state education funding. These cities also “have less flexibility in raising property taxes due to weak wealth and income levels.” They nonetheless also have some of the highest property tax rates in the state.

Keith has spent most of his 31 years as a reporter specializing in state government finances, analyzing such topics as income tax equity, waste in government and the complex funding systems behind Connecticut’s transportation and social services networks. He has been the state finances reporter at CT Mirror since it launched in 2010. Prior to joining CT Mirror Keith was State Capitol bureau chief for The Journal Inquirer of Manchester, a reporter for the Day of New London, and a former contributing writer to The New York Times. Keith is a graduate of and a former journalism instructor at the University of Connecticut.

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