A Facebook message from the House speaker. Others say he was premature.

Democratic legislative leaders and Gov. Dannel P. Malloy stood on the cusp of a deal Wednesday morning to end Connecticut’s 10-week budget impasse and avert huge cuts in municipal aid three weeks from now, sources said.

A tentative understanding on most spending and revenue items gave them a framework, but sources also said several crucial policy details — including the state’s role in overseeing distressed municipalities — remained to be ironed out and could seal or sink any agreement.

The optimism of House Speaker Joe Aresimowicz, D-Berlin, was evident on his Facebook page: He posted a photo of white smoke swirling from a chimney, a gesture that others called premature.

Democratic leaders still must sell this two-year budget plan to rank-and-file members before Thursday’s scheduled votes in the House and Senate. Moderate Democrats have expressed concern about the tax hikes being proposed and have called for greater fiscal reforms.

Though full details were not available, the new plan for this fiscal year and next would raise taxes on hospitals by more than 50 percent to leverage hundreds of millions in new federal dollars and help close projected shortfalls in state finances of $1.6 billion this fiscal year and $1.9 billion in 2018-19.

And while it would avoid increases in the base income and sales tax rates, it would curtail income tax credits for the middle class and working poor.

The new budget also raises the cigarette levy by 45 cents per pack and includes tax hikes on other tobacco products and real estate conveyances.

Sources said there is still some disagreement between the governor and Democratic legislators over the latter’s proposal to impose a $1 surcharge on cell phone bills. This would raise a projected $17 million this fiscal year.

The deal would require cities and towns to begin paying a portion of the annual contribution to the teachers’ pension fund.

Communities would pay only the “normal cost,” an actuarial term referring to the full amount that must be set aside annually to cover the future pensions of present-day teachers. And that burden would be phased in over two fiscal years.

But the package also largely preserves education aid for cities and towns and redistributes grants from wealthy communities to poorer ones in a much less pronounced fashion than Malloy sought.

Since the new fiscal year began on July 1 without a new budget, Malloy has said he has no legal alternative but to reduce spending on municipal aid and social services.

Surging debt and other retirement benefit costs fixed by contract, coupled with declining income tax receipts, already threaten to push finances deep into the red. And Connecticut also spends more than $2.5 billion per year on Medicaid programs, which are fixed by federal entitlement rules.

By this point one year ago, communities already had received nearly $120 million in non-education aid that didn’t go out this year because of the budget gridlock.

More importantly, property tax relief grants that delivered $180 million to municipalities last year on Sept. 30 will not go out this year without a budget.

And if the standoff continues until Oct. 1, when the major education grants are released to school districts, Malloy estimates those payments must be scaled back by 28 percent. This represents a reduction of more than $125 million.

Keith has spent most of his 31 years as a reporter specializing in state government finances, analyzing such topics as income tax equity, waste in government and the complex funding systems behind Connecticut’s transportation and social services networks. He has been the state finances reporter at CT Mirror since it launched in 2010. Prior to joining CT Mirror Keith was State Capitol bureau chief for The Journal Inquirer of Manchester, a reporter for the Day of New London, and a former contributing writer to The New York Times. Keith is a graduate of and a former journalism instructor at the University of Connecticut.

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